by The playoff hopefuls will face off in a Spotlight matchup Thursday night. The Philadelphia 76ers visit the American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks. Philadelphia is on the second night of a straight clash and as a result leaves an uncertain injury report, although Joel Embiid (foot) missed Wednesday’s game. Dallas is 32-31 overall after losing five of their last six games, although the Mavericks are 20-12 at home. Davis Bertans (Wade) is out for the Mavericks.
Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Dallas. Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as a 3.5-point home favorite, while the over/under, or total points Vegas believes will be scored, is 228.5 in the latest 76ers vs. Mavericks odds. Before you hit Mavericks vs. 76ers tips, check out SportsLine’s trusted computer model NBA predictions and betting advice.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated well over $10,000 in profits for $100 players for the past 4+ seasons with its top-tier NBA picks. The model enters Week 20 of the 2022-23 NBA season with a stunning 57-30 throw on all of this season’s top NBA picks, grossing nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Mavs and just laid out its picks and NBA predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Sixers:
- Spread 76ers vs. Mavericks: Mavericks -3.5
- 76ers vs. Mavericks Over/Under: 228.5 points
- Moneyline 76ers vs. Mavericks: Mavericks -175, 76ers +148
- PHI: The 76ers are 5-2-1 against the spread with no rest
- DAL: The Mavericks are 10-19-3 against the spread in home games
- 76ers vs. Mavericks tips: See tips at SportsLine
Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers
Why the 76s can cover
Philadelphia has tremendous values ​​at both ends of the floor this season. The 76ers rank in the top 10 in the NBA for offensive efficiency, and no team makes more free throws per game or converts a higher percentage at the line than Philadelphia. The 76ers are in the top 5 in the NBA in 3-point percentage, and Philadelphia is above average in field goal percentage and turnover rate. Dallas struggles in key areas of defense, posting bottom 10 numbers in percentage of field goals allowed, free throw prevention, revenue generation, and steals per game.
On defense, Philadelphia faces an offense from Dallas, which is near the bottom of the league in offensive rebound rate (23.4%) and assists (22.5 per game). The 76ers rank in the top quartile in the NBA for defensive efficiency, including top marks in 3-point allowable accuracy, assists allowed, points allowed in paint, revenue generation, and steals per game.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas has the advantage of playing at home and with a rest advantage in this matchup. The Mavericks are better than their opponents at 4.8 points per 100 possessions this season in Dallas, and Philadelphia, like most teams, are significantly worse on the road. The Mavericks have an elite offense and are scoring nearly 1.16 points per possession with top-five metrics of turnover rate, 3-points-per-game, free-throw creation, and 2-point accuracy.
On defense, Dallas also has notable strengths, with the Mavericks leading the NBA and allowing just 10.9 3-pointers per game. The Mavericks are keeping opponents 35.0% from 3-point range this season, and Dallas is firmly in the NBA’s top 10 for having given up just 24.4 assists per game. Philadelphia ranks among the bottom five in the league in both offensive rebound rate and second chance points, leaving Dallas feeling confident when it comes to closing possession on the defensive glass.
How to make Mavericks vs. 76ers picks
SportsLine’s model takes the total and projects the teams to 233 points. The model also says that one side of the variance applies in over 50% of the simulations. You only get the choice at SportsLine.
So who wins 76ers vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread applies more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread to jump to, all from the model that crushed his NBA picks and find out.
