2023 Masters Picks, Odds, Field: Surprising PGA predictions from a golf model that hit 8 majors

Only one person in the 2023 Masters field can cap a career grand slam with a win, Rory McIlroy. This is the ninth edition of the Masters that McIlroy has found himself in this situation since winning the third leg of the Grand Slam by winning the 2014 Open Championship. The Irishman has seemingly been on the brink at every Masters since, with six top-10 finishes at Augusta National, including a second-place finish last year. A win at the 2023 Masters would make McIlroy the sixth golfer to complete the modern-era career grand slam.

The 2023 Masters tournament will tee off at Augusta National Golf Club on Thursday, April 6, and McIlroy is the 7-1 favorite according to Caesars Sportsbook. He is followed at 8-1 by world No. 1 Jon Rahm. Other favorites in the latest Masters 2023 odds include defending champion Scottie Scheffler (10-1), Cam Smith (12-1) and Jordan Spieth (15-1). Before making your Masters 2023 selection, be sure to check out the Masters 2023 Predictions and Predictive Rankings on SportsLine’s trusted computer model.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model has gained over $8,600 on its best bets since the reboot, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model predicted that Rahm would finish at the top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. The model also included JT Poston in his best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet reached +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets brought in almost $1,100. At last year’s Masters, McClure’s model throughout was Scheffler’s first major championship win of his career heading into the weekend.

Additionally, among McClure’s best bets was Collin Morikawa’s overall win at the 2021 Open Championship, despite being listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also featured throughout Rahm’s (10-1) career first major championship win at the 2021 US Open. Rahm was two strokes away from the lead going into the weekend, but the model still predicted him as the winner.

The same model also nailed a whopping eight majors over the weekend. Everyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2023 Masters field is taking shape, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Now go to SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard.

Top predictions for the Masters 2023

One big surprise awaiting the model at the 2023 Masters: Cameron Smith, a six-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites at the 2023 Masters, doesn’t even stumble and crack the top 10. Smith is the defending Open champion and claimed late an event in Australia last year but it’s been a rough road for him since then. He finished 47th at his last event in 2022 before missing the cut at his first event in 2023, the only competitive golf he’s played in the past three months.

Despite Smith’s success on the PGA Tour last season, it wasn’t his best year in terms of metrics, which could indicate he was on the right side of luck. He ranked outside the top 100 in driving distance and driving accuracy percentage, while ranking only 136th on the Tour for the important shots he hit from the tee (-.125). With those struggles and just one cut missed for his 2023 events, the model is avoiding Smith at his current Masters 2023 betting odds.

Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 20-1 runner, makes a strong run to the title. He has a much better chance of winning than his odds suggest, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a big payday. Finau was long considered one of the best golfers without a major win, but he celebrated his greatest successes at the Masters. He has had three top-10 finishes in five previous starts at Augusta National Golf Club, with a career-best fifth in 2019.

Finau has been on the right track this season, with top-25 finishes in each of his last eight tournaments. That includes a November win in Houston, and Finau has impressive metrics on the stats best aligned with success. He ranks third in total shots won, fifth in yardage average, and sixth in scoring average. He also ranks 32nd in strokes won in putting, having not made the top 50 in any previous season on the PGA Tour. So Finau has positioned himself well for a run in his first big win. See who else you can pick here.

How to make 2023 Masters picks

The model also targets four other golfers at odds of 20-1 or better who will make surprise runs to a green jacket. Anyone betting on these longshots could make it big. You can only see the model’s PGA picks here.

So who will win the 2023 Masters and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Masters odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the 2023 Masters prospective standings, all drawn from the model that put eight golf majors, including last year’s Masters, on point .

2023 Masters odds, field

Check out the full Masters 2023 picks, best bets and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy 7-1
Jon Rahm 8-1
Scottie Scheffler 10-1
Cameron Smith 12-1
Jordan Spieth 15-1
JustinThomas 16-1
Xander Schauffele 18-1
Tony Finau 20-1
Will Zalatoris 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Max Homa 22-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Dustin Johnson 25-1
Cameron Young 25-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 25-1
Joohyung (Tom) Kim 25-1
Viktor Hovland 26-1
Sungjae Im 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1
Brooks Koepka 35-1
Sam Burns 35-1
Shane Lowry 35-1
Joaquin Niemann 45-1
Bryson DeChambeau 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 55-1
Corey Conner’s 55-1
Tiger Woods 55-1
Aaron Wise 60-1
Louis Oosthuizen 60-1
Justin went up 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Abraham Ancer 75-1
Tommy Fleetwood 75-1
Si Woo Kim 80-1
Russell Henley 80-1
Sahith Theegala 80-1
Billy Horschel 85-1
Talor Gooch 90-1
Mito Pereira 90-1
Adam Scott 100-1
Gary Woodland 100-1
Bubba Watson 100-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Seamus Power 125-1
KH Lee 125-1
Keegan Bradley 125-1
Thomas Pieters 125-1
Ryan Fox 125-1
Sergio Garcia 125-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Jason Kokrak 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Cameron Champ 150-1
Harald Varner 150-1
Kevin Na 150-1
Karl Schwarz 175-1
Adrian Meronk 175-1
Kevin Kisner 175-1
Phil Mickelson 200-1
Danny Willett 200-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 250-1
Kurt Kitayama 250-1
ZachJohnson 300-1
Adam Svensson 300-1
JT Poston 300-1
Fred Pairs 1000-1
Bernhard Langer 1000-1
Vijay Singh 1500-1
Mike Weir 1500-1
Larry Mize 2500-1
Jose Maria Olazabal 2500-1
Sandy Lyle 5000-1

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